The Future is Equal

Failure to respond to early signs of famine costs lives and money

As the warning signs of a new food crisis appear in West Africa, Oxfam and Save the Children have looked back at the human and economic cost of failing to heed these signs in 2010, with tragic results becoming all too clear in the Horn of Africa last year. Thousands of needless deaths occurred and millions of extra dollars were spent because the international community failed to take decisive action on early warnings of a hunger crisis in the Horn of Africa, according to a new report by the two international aid agencies.

As the warning signs of a new food crisis appear in West Africa, Oxfam and Save the Children have looked back at the human and economic cost of failing to heed these signs in 2010, with tragic results becoming all too clear in the Horn of Africa last year. Thousands of needless deaths occurred and millions of extra dollars were spent because the international community failed to take decisive action on early warnings of a hunger crisis in the Horn of Africa, according to a new report by the two international aid agencies.

The report, A Dangerous Delay, said a culture of risk aversion caused a six month delay in the large-scale aid effort because humanitarian agencies and national governments were too slow to scale up responses to the crisis, and many donors wanted proof of a humanitarian catastrophe before acting to prevent one.

Sophisticated early warning systems first forecast a likely emergency as early as August 2010 but the full-scale response was not launched until July 2011, when malnutrition rates in parts of the region had gone far beyond the emergency threshold and there was high profile media coverage of the crisis.

An elderly man wades past a stranded vehicle and a mosque while evacuating the flooded town of Nowshera. Photo: REUTERS/Adrees Latif, courtesy of alertnet.org
The pastoralist communities of Turkana, Kenya are experiencing one of the worst periods of drought in living memory and are now increasingly reliant on food aid.

Save the Children and Oxfam said more funding for food emergencies should be sought and released as soon as the crisis signs are clear, rather than the current system which funds large scale emergency work only when hunger levels have reached tipping-point – by which time lives have already been lost and the cost of the response is much greater. The agencies are calling on governments to overhaul their response to food crises, as laid out in the Charter to End Extreme Hunger, a document that has received backing from key international figures.

“We all bear responsibility for this dangerous delay that cost lives in East Africa and need to learn the lessons of the late response,” said Oxfam’s Chief Executive Barbara Stocking.

“It’s shocking that the poorest people are still bearing the brunt of a failure to respond swiftly and decisively. We know that acting early saves lives but collective risk aversion meant aid agencies were reluctant to spend money until they were certain there was a crisis.”

“We can no longer allow this grotesque situation to continue; where the world knows an emergency is coming but ignores it until confronted with TV pictures of desperately malnourished children,” said Save the Children’ s Chief Executive Justin Forsyth. “The warning signs were clear and with more money when it really mattered, the suffering of thousands of children would have been avoided. All governments should sign the Charter to End Extreme Hunger to help ensure a crisis like this can never happen again.”

While some positive action by governments did take place – such as improved early warning systems and social protection schemes that meant families were given some early support – much more was needed across the region.

The UK government estimates between 50,000 and 100,000 lives were lost between April and August 2011, more than half of them children under the age of five. Today, Somalia remains the most acute food crisis in the world, with hundreds of thousands of people still at risk.

Some early action did take place but overall, the scale of crisis outstripped these efforts and more costly interventions had to be made at a later stage. Trucking five litres of water a day for five months to 80,000 people in Ethiopia as a last resort lifesaving measure costs more than US$3 million, compared to US$900,000 to prepare water sources for an oncoming drought in the same area.

Across East Africa, the provision of early support to keep animals healthy and markets functioning would have helped prevent soaring malnutrition rates, as hundreds of thousands lost livelihoods when their livestock was wiped out by drought.

The report, which comes ahead of global meetings at Davos and the African Union, is a timely reminder that the international community must act fast to avert disaster in West Africa, where a looming food crisis threatens to affect millions of people. A recent Save the Children assessment in Niger showed families in the worst hit areas were already struggling, with around one third less food, money and fuel than is necessary to survive.

Kofi Annan, Chair of the Africa Progress Panel said: “Achieving global food and nutrition security is the challenge of our time, and our success in alleviating widespread hunger will depend, in large part, on our ability to identify the early warning signs of food crises, and respond immediately and effectively.”

Further reforms to tackle hunger crises like the East Africa emergency are set out in the Charter to End Extreme Hunger, a joint-agency initiative, which urges governments to fulfil their responsibilities and take concrete steps to stop catastrophic food crises from happening again.